Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 50.151981 57.659708 65.399284 73.937960 83.059474 92.479903 102.912871
2025-12-28 40.925319 51.846499 63.663564 77.251309 92.305728 108.351556 126.628583
2026-01-04 34.801064 47.557285 61.872145 78.820222 98.062292 118.989827 143.243441
2026-01-11 29.026300 42.814086 58.847022 78.350807 100.981284 126.025136 155.472369
2026-01-18 24.445009 38.882378 56.252209 77.910792 103.525820 132.295161 166.532892
2026-01-25 21.103421 36.077630 54.671149 78.368675 106.857495 139.252806 178.188190
2026-02-01 17.804869 32.945228 52.386959 77.723816 108.679270 144.301940 187.518646
2026-02-08 15.228347 30.487157 50.725280 77.647713 111.019483 149.826547 197.287984
2026-02-15 12.704006 27.801811 48.546635 76.742386 112.209637 153.885093 205.259611
2026-02-22 11.203767 26.447612 48.010785 77.820028 115.742872 160.655617 216.348611
2026-03-01 9.989627 25.388734 47.778679 79.213704 119.610445 167.785505 227.831873
2026-03-08 8.231534 23.220149 45.844940 78.259755 120.456397 171.218353 234.895420
2026-03-15 6.477056 20.803925 43.413311 76.556012 120.315796 173.455301 240.570877
2026-03-22 6.109425 20.846713 44.572153 79.695926 126.349688 183.225769 255.263136
2026-03-29 5.439249 20.215432 44.663050 81.335774 130.431514 190.590657 267.064314
2026-04-05 4.406905 18.681393 43.270420 80.850142 131.712514 194.473842 274.651647
2026-04-12 3.524768 17.269728 41.961335 80.403867 132.988111 198.309679 282.150895
2026-04-19 2.913335 16.328287 41.331355 80.869516 135.425432 203.565283 291.354964
2026-04-26 2.225088 15.000420 39.968182 80.213388 136.329772 206.872353 298.163415
2026-05-03 1.718394 13.979946 39.040764 80.135937 137.966925 211.072605 306.043642
2026-05-10 1.208155 12.714891 37.587845 79.214644 138.421690 213.747519 312.029117
2026-05-17 0.969766 12.241123 37.502004 80.311283 141.592920 219.856345 322.234085
2026-05-24 0.790392 11.904554 37.638870 81.729355 145.194578 226.510907 333.114876